Posts Tagged ‘Hsu’

Forex Education – Identifying The 4 Human Weaknesses

January 6th, 2010



The 4 basic human weaknesses in trading: Greed, fear, impatience and pride. How do these emotions cause so many Forex traders to lose money? Let’s examine the ways.

Greed

Greed causes poor traders to increase the size of their trading positions the moment they’re “in the money” (in a winning trade). This often results in these traders having the largest position size trade just before the market turns in the opposite direction. As a result, this causes them to suffer large losses.

Fear

Fear makes people avoid entering into good trades because they don’t know what they’re doing. Heard of the phrase “buy low, sell high”? Unfortunately, many traders think that this is true. The profitable traders however, know that a more accurate phrase would be: “buy high, sell higher”.

Fear is often the result of not knowing what one is doing. If you have a proper, reliable trading system, fear shouldn’t be in your trading vocabulary.

Impatience

The opposite of fear, impatience leads people to enter into trades when there are no clear trading signals. Needless to say, most of these impatient trades usually turn out to be unprofitable.

Pride

This is very possibly the worst trading weakness of all! Pride makes a trader hold on to losing positions with the false hope that the position will turn around in his favour. Winning traders are humble, and aren’t afraid to admit that they’ve made a mistake when they lose money. After all, no one can be right all the time!

Unfortunately, many losing traders refuse to admit that they’re wrong, and often lose money to pay for their pride.

Summary

Understanding the effects of these emotions is crucial before one can be a consistently profitable trader. Use this knowledge as a tool to make money from ignorant traders, and don’t fall into these traps yourself!

By: Harold Hsu

Forex Trading Education – Fundamental Economic Indicators

November 2nd, 2009



What Are Fundamental Economic Indicators?

Economic indicators are typically important news announcements that involve sensitive economic data of a country.

How Do Economic Indicators Affect Trading Decisions?

Consider this example:

It’s Monday morning and the U.S. Dollar had been spiraling down in the past two weeks. At this point, it’s pretty safe to assume that there are many traders holding on to large USD short positions.

However, there is an important economic announcement scheduled to be broadcasted on Friday. Industry experts are estimating this coming announcement to reflect a positive outlook for the U.S. economy, and most traders will thus be expecting a short-term USD rally this Friday. As the week progresses, the traders will gradually be exiting their short positions to lock in their profits – they wouldn’t want the upcoming positive news announcement to eat away their gains!

In this example, you can see that economic indicators affect market prices on two levels:

Directly: When positive USD-related news is announced, the dollar rallies Indirectly: Traders who are expecting the news to go against their open positions will slowly exit their trades, causing the USD to rise even before the announcement

How Should You Trade With Economic Indicators?

This is actually a trick question. Generally, one should avoid trading during the times of fundamental news announcements. This is because the market volatility during these periods is extraordinarily large, and the combination of this plus a high chance of slippage will almost guarantee that you lose money.

News trading is advised only for the advanced traders, and beginner traders should stay well clear of this territory.

By: Harold Hsu

Forex Trading Education – How To Trade Price Consolidations

October 29th, 2009



Trading on price consolidation breakouts is a popular choice among Forex traders. In this article, I will present to you one of the most effective and simplest ways to trade consolidations.

What Is A Price Consolidation?

Price consolidation occurs when there is no obvious uptrend or downtrend in short-term time frames. Ranging markets are not considered to be consolidating because prices are still fluctuating up and down. In a true consolidation, market prices don’t fluctuate and typically stay within a 10 to 15 pip range.

What Time Frames Should I Trade?

Consolidating prices don’t usually last very long. That’s why you’ll usually trade using intraday time frames (i.e. hourly charts or minute charts). Occasionally, daily charts may show flat prices as well… but these are more the exception rather than the norm.

How Do I Trade It?

Most people enter into a trade when prices break out of the highest price (or lowest price) of the consolidation. If prices break upwards, they buy. If prices break downwards, they sell. The decision to trade on breakouts is based on the assumption that the momentum of the break will be strong enough to push price further in the same direction.

How Effective Is It To Trade Breakouts?

In my experience, breakout trading can yield rather consistent profits. This is because they usually follow through. The hard part is deciding when to exit your trade once it’s in-the-money, because breakouts sometimes reverse directions quite quickly.

What Should Be My Profit Target?

Usually, a profit target of 30 pips is good enough. Sometimes, you may want to try for 50 pips. I don’t usually hold breakout trade positions after I’m in-the-money for 50 pips because then the price action will usually turn erratic.

By: Harold Hsu